September 18-21, 2007, Friendship Hotel, Beijing, ChinaFINAL SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM
Tuesday, September 18,
10:00-19:30 Registration
18:00-19:30 Welcome Reception
Wednesday, September 19
8:30-9:00 Conference Opening
Chair: Xu Xianchun, Deputy Comissioner, National Bureau of Statistics, China
1. Xie Fuzhan, Commissioner, National Bureau of Statistics, China.
The Achievements, Challenges and Measures of China’s Statistical Reform
2. Liv Hobbelstad Simpson (Immediate Past Chairperson, IARIW and Statistics Norway)
9:00-10:00 Keynote Address
Chair: Liv Hobbelstad Simpson (Immediate Past Chairperson, IARIW and Statistics Norway)
Professor Angus Maddison “Measuring the Economic Performance of Transition Economies: Some Lessons from Chinese Experience”(to be presented by Bart Van Ark (University of Groningen, Netherlands)).
The Address and the Presentation are available.
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-13:15 Plenary Session 1: Issues for National Accounting in Countries in Transition (Including Update of the 1993 SNA) – Session Organisers: Carol Carson and Xianchun Xu (National Bureau of Statistics, China)
Chair: Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia)
Papers:
1. Xu Xianchun (National Bureau of Statistics, China), “The Development, Reform and Challenge of China’s National Accounts”
Presentation by the discussant, Ruoen Ren (Beihang University, China)
2. Ximing Yue (Renmin University of China), “Issues of Labor Statistics in China”
Presentation by the discussant, Jaroslav Kux (Research Institute for Labour and Social Affairs, Czech Republic)
3. Derek Blades, “International Comparison Programme 2005: Issues for Transition Countries in Asia”
4. Youri Ivanov (Interstate Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of Independent States), “Drawing Lessons from the Experience of the Transition Economies in the Field of National Accounting”
5. Carol Carson “Recognizing Globalization in the Updated SNA”
Discussants:
Ruoen Ren (Beihang University, China)
Jaroslav Kux (Research Institute for Labour and Social Affairs, Czech Republic)
Liv Hobbelstad Simpson (Statistics Norway)
Bishnu Pant (Asian Development Bank)
13:15-14:45 Lunch
14:45-18:00 Concurrent Sessions 1 (break 16:15-16:30)
Concurrent Session 1A: The Distributional Impact of Growth and Productivity in China since Liberalisation– Session Organiser: Michael Ward
Chair: Michael Ward
Papers:
1. Albert Keidel (Carnegie Endowment, USA), “China Regional Disparities: The Causes and Impact of Regional Inequalities in Income and Well-Being”
2. Xiaobo Zhang (Zhejiang University, China and International Food Policy Research Institute, US), “Have Geese Flown to the Inland?”
3. Mitsuhiko Iyoda (Momoyama Gakuin University, Japan), “The Bright and Gloomy Sides of Economic Growth: Some Cautionary Lessons for China from the Japanese Experience”
4. Yingfeng Xu (Univesity of Alberta, Canada) and Xiaoyi Yan (Human Resources and Social Development Canada), “How Would Renminbi’s Real Appreciation Affect the Structure and Productivity of the Chinese Economy?”
5. Chunping Zhao (People’s Bank of China), “Flow of Funds Accounting in China and the Analysis of China’s 2005 Table of Flow of Funds”
Discussants:
Yuri Dikhanov (World Bank)
Dr Li Wang (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
Dr Fan Ming Tai (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
Concurrent Session 1B: Measuring Industrial and Regional Productivity in Transition Economies – Session Organiser: Harry X. Wu (Hong Kong Polytechnic University)
Chair: Harry Wu (Hong Kong Polytechnic University)
Papers:
1. Lili Wang and Adam Szirmai (Eindhoven University, Netherlands), “Regional Productivity Trends in Chinese Industry”
2. Jing Cao, Mun Ho, Dale Jorgenson (Harvard University, USA), Ruoen Ren, Linlin Sun (Beihang University, China), and Ximing Yue (Renmin University of China), “Industrial and Aggregate Measure of Productivity Growth in China, 1982-2000”
3. Selin Ozyurt (University of Paris-Dauphine, France), “Total Factor Productivity Growth in Chinese Industry, 1952-2005”
4. Alice Shiu and Harry X. Wu (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University), “Efficiency and Productivity Performance of Chinese Manufacturing Revisited”
5. Sun Linlin and Ren Ruoen (Beihang University, China), “Estimates of Capital Input Index by Industries: The People’s Republic of China, 1980-2000”
6. Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen and Qin Xiao (The Conference Board China Center for Economics and Business, Beijing) “Labour Compensation, Productivity and Unit Labour Cost in Chinese Provinces”
Discussants:
Prasada Rao (University of Queensland, Australia)
Derek Blades
Concurrent Session 1C:Construction and Use of Input-Output Tables in Transition Economies – Session Organisers: Liv Hobbelstad Simpson (Statistics Norway) and Jiemin Guo (Bureau of Economic Analysis, USA)
Chair: Jiemin Guo (Bureau of Economic Analysis, USA)
Papers:
1. Shuchang, Qi and Chen Jie (National Bureau of Statistics, China), “The Evolution and Issues of I-O Table Compilation During Economy Transformation in China”
Presentation by the discussant, Sanjiv Mahajan (Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom)
2. Natalia Ustinova (Federal State Statistics Service of Russia), “Russian Input-Output Tables: Experience on Compilation, Problems and Perspectives”
3. Liv Hobbelstad Simpson (Statistics Norway), “Experience from Transition Economies with the Development of Supply and Use of Input-Output Tables Integrated with National Accounts in Current and Constant Prices”
4. Xu Jian, He Jing (Chinese Academy of Sciences) and Yanyun Zhao (Remin University of China), “Assessment Study for the RAS Method based on China’s Input-Output Tables”
Presentation by the discussant, Sanjiv Mahajan (Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom)
Discussant:
Anna Ansmits (Canada)
Sanjiv Mahajan (Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom)
18:30-20:00 Banquet
Thursday, September 20
8:30-12:00 Plenary Session 2: Wealth and Income Inequality in Transition Countries- Session Organiser: Li Shi (Beijing Normal University, China) (break 10:00-10:30)
Chair: Li Shi (Beijing Normal University, China)
Papers:
1. Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden), Li Shi (Beijing Normal University, China) and Ludmila Nivorozhkina (Rostov State Economic University, Russia), “Understanding Why Household Incomes Are More Unequally Distributed in China than in Russia”
2. John Knight (Oxford University, UK), “Reform, Growth, and Inequality in China “
3. Barbara Liberda (Warsaw University, Poland), “The Poorest and the Richest in a Growing Transition Economy”
4. Irina Gerasimova (Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia), “Economic Growth and Income Inequality Across the Regions of the Russian Federation, (1995-2004 years)”
5. Branko Milanovic (World Bank), “Where in the World Are You? Assessing the Importance of Circumstance and Effort in a World of Different Mean Country Incomes and (almost) No Migration”
Discussants:
Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia)
Gordon Anderson (University of Toronto, Canada)
Paolo Verme (University of Torino and Bocconi University, Italy)
Xiaobo Zhang (Zhejiang University, China and International Food Policy Research Institute, US)
12:00-13:00 Lunch
13:00-16:30 Concurrent Sessions 2 (break 14:30-15:00)
Concurrent Session 2A: Poverty in Transition Economies: Measurement Structure and Dynamics– Session Organisers: Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia) and Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden)
Chairs: Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia) and Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden)
Papers:
1. Gordon Anderson (University of Toronto, Canada) and Teng Wah Leo (St. Francis Xavier University, Canada), “Child Poverty, Generational Mobility and the One Child Policy in Urban China”
2. Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden) and Ding Sai (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences) “Temporary and Permanent Poverty among Ethnic Minorities and the Majority in Rural China”
3. Syeda Begum (University of Goteborg, Sweden), Deng Quheng (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences) and Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden), “Child Poverty in Bangladesh and China”
4. Qin Gao (Fordham University, USA), Irwin Garfinkel (Columbia University, USA) and Fuhua Zhai (Columbia university, USA), “How Effective is the Minimum Living Standard Assurance Policy in Urban China?”
5. Paolo Verme (University of Torino and Bocconi University, Italy), “Social Assistance and Poverty Reduction in Moldova”
Discussants:
Bjorn Gustafsson (University of Goteborg, Sweden)
Wang Sangui (Renmin University of China)
Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia)
Li Shi (Beijing Normal University, China)
Background Papers:
1. Xin Meng and Bob Gregory (Australian National University, Australia) and Yang Du (Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences), “Impact of the Guest Worker System on Poverty and Wellbeing of Migrant Workers in Urban China”
Concurrent Session 2B:The Non-observed Economy in Transition Economies -Session Organiser: Derek Blades
Chair: Derek Blades
Papers:
1. Lu Ming and Tian Shichao (Fudan University, China), “Observed Unemployment or Unobserved Employment? – Evidence from Shanghai Household Survey Data”
2. Demberel Ayush (Mongolian National Statistics Office), “Measuring the Size of the Non-Observed Economy in Mongolia Using Indirect Methods”
3. Ismurzina Galiya (Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan on Statistics), “Measuring the Non-Observed Economy in Kazakhstan”
Comments by the discussant, Helen Boss Heslop (ex-WIIW Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)
4. Tatiana Khomenko (Interstate Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of Independent States) “Measurement of the Non-observed Economy in Transition Economies with Special References to CIS Countries”
Comments by the discussant, Helen Boss Heslop (ex-WIIW Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)
Discussants:
Michael Ward, former Principal Economist, World Bank (retired)
Halina Dmochowska, Vice President, Central Statistical Office of Poland
Helen Boss Heslop, (ex-WIIW Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)
Background Papers:
1. Ramesh Kolli (Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, India), “The Informal Sector in the National Accounts of India”
2. Nadim Ahmad (OECD), “Measuring the Non-Observed Economy in Western Balkan Countries: Practical Lessons for Transition Economies”
Concurrent Session 2C: Issues in National Accounting Facing Transition Economies– Session Organisers: Ren Ruoen (Beihang University), Bart van Ark (University of Groningen, Netherlands) and Minxue Gao (The Renmin University of China)
Chair: Bart van Ark (University of Groningen, Netherlands)
Papers:
1. Lihua Dong (National Bureau of Statistics, China), “Quarterly GDP Estimation in China”
2. Angus Maddison and Harry Wu (Hong Kong Polytechnic University), “China’s Economic Performance: How Fast Has GDP Grown; How Big is it Compared With the USA?”
3. Yanyun Zhao, Yilin Wu and Ma Wentao (Renmin University of China), “The Accounting Method in the Service Industry of China – The Estimation of Value Added by A Cultural Industry Model”
4. Minxue Gao and Jingping Li (Renmin University of China), “Treatment of Urban Land Transactions in the National Accounts in China”
5. Ion Ghizdeanu, Bianca Pauna and Veronica Tudorescu (National Commission for Economic Forecasting, Romania), “Accounting and Forecasting of the Quarterly GDP”
Discussants:
Albert Keidel (Carnegie Endowment, USA)
Ximing Yue (Renmin University of China)
Yingfeng Xu (University of Alberta, Canada)
Concurrent Session 2D:Contributed Papers Session Organisers: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards, Canada and IARIW) and Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia)
Chair: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards, Canada and IARIW)
Papers
2D.1 Poverty Reduction Policies in Transition Economies
1. Ibrahim Tokatlioglu and Gokhan Aykac (Gazi Universitesi, Turkey), “How Efficient are the Poverty Reduction-Oriented Policies in Eastern European Transition Economies?”
2. Paolo Verme (University of Torino and Bocconi University, Italy), “When Is Growth Good for the Poor? Some Evidence from Regional Dynamics in a Transition Economy”
2D.2 Comparing Economic Performance in China and India
3. Olivier Bargain (University College Dublin,Ireland and IZA, Germany) Sumon Kumar Bhaumik (Brunel University and IZA, Germany), Manisha Chakrabarty (Keele University, UK) and Zhong Zhao (IZA, Germany), “Earnings Differences Between Chinese and Indian Wage Earners, 1987-2004: Trends and the Impact of Education”
4. Harry X. Wu (Hong Kong Polytechnic University), Bonn L. Lee (Queensland University of Technology, Australia) and Prasada Rao (University of Queensland, Australia), “Comparative Performance of Indian And Chinese Manufacturing Industries, 1980-2004”
Discussants:
Barbara Liberda (Warsaw University, Poland)
Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards, Canada and IARIW)
16:30-16:45 Asian Development Bank Information Session:
Bishnu Pant (Asian Development Bank), “Reflections on Asian Development Bank Co-operation with China to Enhance Statistical Capacity”
16:45-17:00 Closing Ceremonies
Chair: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards, Canada and IARIW)
1. Peter Saunders (University of New South Wales, Australia)
2. Xianchun Xu (National Bureau of Statistics, China)
17:00 Dinner
18:00 Departure Buses Leave for Acrobatic Performance
19:15 Acrobatic Performance
Friday, September 21
Excursion (Great Wall and Forbidden City)